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Cooler days are coming: Columbia’s 2023 fall weather forecast

Prepare for fall weather in the the Capital City with these seasonal temperature and precipitation outlooks from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center.

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Leaves on the ground in front of the South Carolina State House. | Photo by COLAtoday

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We know the question on your mind, Columbians — when’s it going to get cool? Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our city for September, October, and November. While exact fall weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what fall will bring.

Reminder: The first day of fall is on Saturday, Sept. 23.

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Don’t break out those sweaters just yet in Cola. | Map via the NOAA

🌡️ Temperature

Think warm. This fall, Cola has a 33-40% chance of temperatures being higher than normal, which is lower than last year’s prediction of 40-50%.

🌨️ Precipitation

Precipitation trends are expected to lean above average through December. Usually, Cola averages 3.94 inches of rain in September, 2.89 inches in October, 2.88 inches in November, and 3.38 in December.

What September has in store

Typically in Columbia, September’s temperatures fluctuate between an average low of 66° and an average high of 88°, but expect to see more of those near-88° days this year. If you aren’t a fan of the heat, we have some good news: The average high drops ~5° in September. Pro tip: September has an average daily maximum UV index of 5, so don’t slack on the sunscreen.

Cooling down in October

In October, the average high and low temps are between 78° + 54°. We’ll be keeping an eye out for the late-season tropical storms that blow in, but you’ll most likely feel a cool breeze while you stroll through Soda City Market or a crisp and cool night at the South Carolina State Fair.

Next up, November

Historically, average highs in November drop ~10° to 69°, with an average low of 45°. Get ready for moderately chilly days with a gentle breeze. Fun fact: Columbia had its earliest snowfall on November 1, 2014.

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